General Equilibrium in the Long Run: a Tentative Quantification of the SSP scenarios

Lionel Fontagné and Jean Foure

No 332833, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: Elaborating on seminal endeavours to calibrate baselines of global models by the GTAP community, the World Bank, the OECD and IIASA, we combine a fully-fledged macro-econometric growth model (MaGE) with a Computable General Equilibrium Model (MIRAGE) and contribute a quantitative evaluation of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways popularized by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Doing so, we rely on a cross-cutting approach which mixes a theoretically founded macroeconomic framework with a dynamic global and multi-sectoral modelling framework, maximizing consistency between them, while relying on experts appraisal to tackle uncertainty around the baseline design.

Keywords: Research; Methods/Statistical; Methods (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332833

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