SSP long run scenarios for European NUTS2 regions

Wolfgang Britz, Roberto Roson and Martina Sartori

No 333114, Conference papers from Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project

Abstract: In this paper we illustrate the development of a modeling framework aimed at producing detailed quantiative estimates for economic variables, consistent with Shared Socio-economic Pathways, and their assumptions about national income and population. Our model not only provides infomation on industrial production levels, employment, consumption patterns, trade _x001d_ows and other macroeconomic variables, but disaggregates them further at the sub-national level, for European NUTS2 regions. Estimates are produced by an especially designed dynamic general equilibrium model (G-RDEM), augmented with a regional down-scaling module. The latter takes into account the di_x001b_erent sectoral composition of the regional economies, their endowments of primary resources, as well as the possible existence of structural and agglomeration externalities. After illustrating the methodology, the paper provides a brief overview of SSP-consistent economic development scenarios produced for the European regions.

Keywords: Research; Methods/Statistical; Methods (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Working Paper: SSP Long Run Scenarios for European NUTS2 Regions (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:pugtwp:333114

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