Conference papers

From Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project
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331135: The Economic Analysis of GM Crops Impacts on Taiwan's Agriculture

Chia-Hsuan Wu, Kuo-Jung Lin, Ching-Cheng Chang and Shih-Hsun Hsu

331134: How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?

Thomas Hertel, David Hummels, Maros Ivanic and Roman Keeney

331133: Measuring Border Crossing Costs and their Impact on Trade Flows: The United States-Mexican Trucking Case

Alan K. Fox, Joseph Francois and Pilar Londoño-Kent

331132: Trade Liberalisation with Labor Market Distortions: the Case of Indonesia

Guntur Sugiyarto, Adam Blake and M. Thea Sinclair

331131: The U.S. Sugar Program versus Bilateral and Multilateral Trade Liberalization

Marinos E. Tsigas and Devry S. Boughner

331130: Effects of Russian WTO Accession and EU Enlargement on Belarus: Initial Estimations

Lúcio Vinhas de Souza

331129: Transnational Companies and Changes in Comparative Advantages in Brazil

Carlos Alberto Cinquetti

331128: Is agricultural liberalization beneficial to developing countries?

Antoine Bouët, Jean-Christophe Bureau, Yvan Decreux and Sebastien Jean

331127: Export Tax Rebates and Real Exchange Rate Devaluation: China's Experience in Recent Asia Financial Crisis -- A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Eden Yu, Chi-Chur Chao and Zhi Wang

331126: WTO Accession, "Greater China" Free Trade Area and Economic Integration across the Taiwan Strait

Zhi Wang

331125: Controlling Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the Agricultural Sector in Ireland: A CGE Modeling Approach

Janine Jensen, Ronnie O'Toole and Alan Matthews

331124: Trade Preferences, WTO Negotiations and the LDCs: the case of the "Everything But Arms" Initiative

Wusheng Yu and Trine Vig Jensen

331123: Incorporating Domestic Marketing Margins into the GTAP Model

Everett B. Peterson

331122: A Dynamic Analysis of Jordan's Trade Liberalisation

Omar Feraboli

331121: Globalization, Trade Liberalization and Poverty Alleviation in Southeast Asia: the Case of the Livestock Sector in Vietnam

Alejandro Nin, Ma. Lucila Lapar and Simeon Ehui

331120: Distributional Effects of U.S. Farm Commodity Programs: Accounting for Farm and Non-Farm Households

Kenneth Hanson and Agapi Somwaru

331119: Towards Formation of Close Economic Cooperation Among Asian Countries

Nagesh Kumar, S.K. Mohanty, Sanjib Pohit and Saikat Sinha Roy

331118: Tourism Crisis Management: adjusting to a temporary downturn

Adam Blake and M.Thea Sinclair

331117: Poland's EU Accession - Results from a Study utilising the PolGem - Model of the Polish Economy

Juha Honkatukia, Risto Vaittinen, Iwona Fudala-Poradzinska and Monika Janiak

331116: Birds in a Coop: Looking at the Regional Broiler Market

D.L. Salin, W.F. Hahn and Agapi Somwaru

331115: Linking GTAP to National Models: Some Highlights and a Practical Approach

Mark Horridge and Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira-Filho

331114: The Free Trade Area of Americas and the Regional Development in Brazil

Joaquim Bento de Souza Ferreira-Filho

331113: How Can Trade Liberalization Be Conducive to a Better Environment?

Savas Alpay

331112: The Dividends from a Revenue Neutral Tax on Coal in South Africa

T.J. De Wet and J. H. van Heerden

331111: How Important is the Intermediate Input Channel in Explaining Sectoral Employment Comovement over the Business Cycle?

K. Kim and Y.S. Kim

331110: High-Tech Industries Development and Its Impact on Energy Use and the Environment of Taiwan

Shih-Mo Lin

331109: Can Trade Liberalization Serve International Technology Diffusion in Developing Countries?

Leena Kerkelä

331108: An Assessment of the Distributional Impact of Agricultural Trade Policies in the Triad

Antoine Bouët and Estelle Dhont-Peltrault

331107: EU-enlargement and the Opening of Russia: Lessons from the GTAP Reference Model

Pekka Sulamaa and Mika Widgren

331106: Rational Expectations for Large Models: a Practical Algorithm and a Policy Application

Peter B. Dixon, Ken Pearson, Mark Picton and Maureen T. Rimmer

331105: Heterogeneous Agents, Inequality, and the Informal Sector in Developing Countries: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis

Durdane Sirin Saracoglu

331104: Textile and Wearing Apparel Sector Liberalization - Consequences for the Bangladesh Economy

Markus Lips, Andrzej Tabeau, Frank van Tongeren, Nazneen Ahmed and Claudia Herok

331103: Feeding the World via Transfer Payments – A General Equilibrium Approach

Markus Lips

331102: Multilateral and Regional Trade Agreements: Options for Bangladesh

Markus Lips, Andrzej Tabeau and Frank van Tongeren

331101: Economic Implications of Trade Liberalization Under the Doha Round

Joseph Francois, H. van Meijl and Frank van Tongeren

331100: Impact of Agricultural Reform in the Western Hemisphere and the European Union on Latin America: Bright Prospects or Distant Illusions?

Josefina Monteagudo and Masakazu Watanuki

331099: The Institutional Determinants of Bilateral Trade Patterns

Henri de Groot, Gert-Jan Linders, Piet Rietveld and Uma Subramanian

331098: Implications of EU Accession of Ten New Members: The Copenhagen Agreement

Hans G. Jensen and Søren E. Frandsen

331097: Preferential Trade Agreements and the Optimal Liberalisation of Agricultural Trade

Scott McDonald and Terrie Walmsley

331096: The Specification of Price and Income Elasticities in Computable General Equilibrium Models: An Application of Latent Separability

Alexandre Gohin

331095: A Computable General Equilibrium Assessment of a Developing Country Joining an Annex 1 Permit Trading Market

Claudia Kemfert and Hans Kremers

331094: Impact of China's WTO Accession on East Asia

Elena Ianchovichina and Terrie Walmsley

331093: International Consumption Patterns: Evidence From the 1996 International Comparison Project

James Seale and Anita Regmi

331092: Assessing Environmental Effects of China's WTO Accession

Li Shantong, Fan Zhai and Xiaowei Xuan

331091: Twin Crises: A Reexamination of Empirical Links

Jürgen von Hagen and Tai-kuang Ho

331090: The Impact of Japanese Economic Cooperation on Asian Economic Development

Kenichi Kawasaki

331089: Japan’s FTA Policy and Support to Agricultural Sectors

Tomoyoshi Nakajima

331088: Export Growth and Poverty

Marein van Schaaijk and Bas van Tuijl

331087: Interpretation of Macroeconomic Results from a CGE Model such as GTAP

Philip D. Adams

331086: Dragon by the Tail, Dragon by the Head, Bilateralism and Globalism in East Asia

David Roland-Holst, Finn Tarp, Pham Lan Huong and Vo Tri Thanh

331085: A Dynamic Recursive Analysis of A Carbon Tax Including Local Health Feedback

Jennifer Chung-I Li

331084: The Role of Innovation and Opportunity in Bilateral OECD Trade Performance

Prabuddha Sanyal

331083: Does Globalization Affect Growth?

Axel Dreher

331082: On Labour Standards and Free Trade

Michiel Kok, Richard Nahuis and Albert de Vaal

331081: Estimating the Effects of China’s Accession to the World Trade Organisation

Yinhua Mai, Mark Horridge and Frances Perkins

331080: Climate change policies, energy security and carbon dependency: trade-offs for the European Union in the longer term

Onno Kuik

331079: Analysis of Long-Term Global Social Change: Using Universal Social Accouting Matrices (SAMs) in the International Futures (IFs) Modelling System

Barry B. Hughes and Anwar Hossain

331078: Exports of Services, Exports of Goods, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries

Alberto Gabriele

331077: Estimates of the Costs of Kyoto-Marrakesh Versus The McKibbin-Wilcoxen Blueprint

Warwick McKibbin and Peter Wilcoxen

331076: Industrial diversity in patterns of productivity convergence and trade specialisation

Robert Stehrer and Julia Wörz

331075: Is International Trade Guilty for an Enlarging Wage Differential? A Dynamic Intertemporal General Equilibrium Model

Hsiao-Chuan Chang

331074: Using a Highly Disaggregated Multi-Regional Single-Country Model to Analyse the Impacts of the 2002-03 Drought on Australia

Mark Horridge, John Madden and Glyn Wittwer

331073: A Two-Level Dynamic Game of Carbon Emissions Trading Between Russia, China, and Annex B Countries

A. Bernard, A. Haurie, Marc Vielle and L. Viguier

331072: Income and Emission: A Panel Data based Cointegration Analysis

Soumyananda Dinda and Dipankor Coondoo

331071: Company Performance in Ukraine: What Governs Its Success

Tatiana Andreyeva

331070: Interpreting Trade Statistics in Regulated and Deregulated Markets - An Analytical Exercise Based on Indian Experience

Amit K. Biswas and Sugata Marjit

331069: Incorporating Labor-Leisure Choice into a Static General Equilibrium Model

Alan K. Fox

331068: International Service Trade: A Case Study

Thomas F. Rutherford

331067: The CGE Approach to the Analysis of Sustainable Development: Some Remarks

C.Y. Cyrus Chu and Chung-Huang Huang

331066: An Evaluation of the Performance of Applied General Equilibrium Models of the Impact of NAFTA

Timothy Kehoe

331065: The Economic Effect of Greenhouse Policies in New Zealand

Phillip Bishop, Mark Walton and Alex Sundakov

331064: Past and Future Sources of Productivity Growth in Fibre Drum Manufacturing

Donald E. Rutherford

331063: The Effects of China's Development and Open Policy on Japan's Economy

Mantaro Matsuya

331062: Trade and Direct Investment Trends across the Taiwan Strait - An Empirical Analysis of Taiwan and China's Accession into the WTO

Ji Chou, Shiu-Tung Wang, Kun-Ming Chen and Nai-Fong Kuo

331061: Carbon Abatement, Coalition Formation, and International Trade in Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Jared Carbone, Thomas F. Rutherford and Carsten Helm

331060: Emergent Trilateralism in the Pacific Basin: How Should China, Japan, and the United States Respond to Regional Trade Initiatives?

Hiro Lee, David Roland-Holst and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

331059: Analyzing Taiwan’s Air Pollution: An Application of the CGE Model and the Concept of Green National Product

Yun-Peng Chu, Shih-Mo Lin and Ching-Wei Kuo

331058: Further Development of a Computable General Equilibrium-Model for the Long-Run Investigation of Global Impacts of GHG-Mitigation Policies

Margit Lott

331057: Economic Development, Trade and Environmental Quality: Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in a Threshold Model

Savas Alpay

331056: The Impact of Ageing on International Capital Flows in a Heterogeous World with Imperfect Capital Mobility

Henri de Groot and Paul J.G. Tang

331055: Quantifying the Economic Impact of Removing Non-Tariff Measures:Tariff Equivalent Approach

Takamune Fujii and Mitsuyo Ando

331054: Trade and Direct Investment in Producer Services and the Domestic Market for Expertise

James Markusen, Thomas F. Rutherford and David Tarr

331053: A Korea-Japan FTA: Economic Effects and Policy Implications

Inkyo Cheong

331052: Evaluating Accession to WTO by China and Chinese Taipei

Elena Ianchovichina and Will Martin

331051: The Costs of Green House Gas Emission Reductions in the European and Japanese Economies under Alternative Emission Trading Regimes

Hiroshi Hamasaki and Truong P. Truong

331050: Key Assumptions in AGE Trade Models: An Assessment using the Mirage Model

Mohamed Hedi Bchir, Yvan Decreux, Jean-Louis Guérin and Sebastien Jean

331049: Alfred Marshall Project: An Open-Source Elasticity Database for Applied GGE work

Melanie Bacou and Renger van Nieuwkoop

331048: This paper attempts to evaluate the economic impacts of the Kyoto Protocol by using AIM model. It is estimated that the GDP losses to Japan, US, EU, and Russia would be 0.42%, 0.56%, 0.44%, and 0.25%, respectively in case the Annex B countries ratify the Kyoto Protocol and reduce their emissions without emissions trading and without accounting carbon sink. On the other hand, the GDP losses to Japan and EU would grow when the United States would not ratify the Kyoto Protocol, and it is estimated to fall by 0.48% and 0.47% relative to the base case scenario, respectively. The GDP loss of Russia would be 0.17%. The GDP of US would increase by 0.01%. These losses would be recovered if Kyoto mechanisms were adopted. When the emissions trading would be introduced, the GDP losses to Japan, US, and EU would be 0.14%, 0.33% and 0.19%, respectively and Russia would gain GDP by 3.5%. When carbon sink is accounted, the economic impacts can be reduced further. Even when the amount of tradable carbon is restricted, the impacts will become much less. In addition to emission trading, effects of CDM, price induced technical change, and boycott movement are examined. The paper also analyzed the climatic impacts of the mitigation scenarios. Three scenarios are examined. First scenario assumes a goal of the Kyoto Protocol will be achieved in 2010. The second assumes that USA will not ratify the Kyoto Protocol. The third scenario assumes that the emission is reduced at the rate of 5% per decade after 2020. It is found that the temperature will increase to 2.15 ºC by the year 2100 even if the Annex B countries follow the Kyoto protocol and other appropriate countermeasures are taken. If we postpone the reduction policies, climate impacts will become worse. The implementation of the Kyoto Protocol is necessary to keep the temperature increase in 2100 below 2 ºC

Mikiko Kainuma, Yuzuru Matsuoka and Tsuneyuki Morita

331047: The Global Impacts of Farm Policy Reforms in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Countries

Mary E. Burfisher, Sherman Robinson and Karen Thierfelder

331046: Modelling the Health Related Benefits of Environmental Policies: A CGE Model for the EU-15 Countries

Inge Mayeres and Denise van Regemorter

331045: EU Enlargement: Benefits of the Single Market Expansion for Current and New Member States

Maryla Maliszewska

331044: Greater China's Accession to the WTO: Implications for International Trade/Production and for Hong Kong

Joseph Francois and Dean Spinanger

331043: European Union trade and non-tariff measures

Nora Dihel and Peter Walkenhorst

331042: Developing a Cost of Capital Module for Computable General Equilibrium Modelling

Ashley Winston

331041: Modelling of Small Countries in Economic Integration Processes: An Extension of the Armington Approach

C.A. Herok, H. van Meijl and Frank van Tongeren

331040: WTO Negotiations and the MENA Region: A Preliminary Appraisal

Ali Bayar, Ghazi Ben-Ahmed and Raed Safadi

331039: The Key Role of the Milk Quota in the Reform of the Swiss Agricultural Policy

Laurent Cretegny

331038: International Diffusion of Gains from Biotechnology and the European Union’s Common Agricultural Policy

Hans van Meijl and Frank van Tongeren

331037: Potential Impacts of Trade Liberalization in Korea's Motor Vehicle Industry

Sang-yirl Nam and Junsok Yang

331036: Impact Evaluation of the Tariff Reduction on the Fisheries Sector in Taiwan: A Comparison of Multi-Sector CGE Model and Single-Sector Multi-Activity Sector Model

Chin-Hwa Sun, Fu-Sung Chiang and Cheng-Hong Lin