Climate Change Adaptation via U.S. Land Use Transitions: A Spatial Econometric Analysis

Sung Ju Cho, Bruce McCarl and Ximing Wu ()

No 196684, 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia from Southern Agricultural Economics Association

Abstract: Climate change, coupled with biofuels development and other factors may well be changing US land usage patterns. We use a spatial econometric approach to estimate the drivers of US land use transitions in recent years. We consider transitions between six major land uses: agricultural land, forest, grassland, water, urban, and other uses. To examine drivers, we use a two-step linearized, spatial, multinomial logit model and estimate land use transition probabilities. Our results indicate that climate change is a driver of land use change and that movements to and from agricultural land and grassland exhibit opposite responses with climate change portending a movement out of cropland into grassland. These results indicate that adaptation to climate change through land usage change is ongoing but with spatial dependence.

Keywords: Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 19
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-env and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:saea15:196684

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.196684

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