Assessment of the Impact of Avian Influenza Related Regulatory Policies on Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare

Christine Wieck, Simon W. Schlueter and Wolfgang Britz

No 122022, Discussion Papers from University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics

Abstract: We use two methodological approaches to analyze avian influenza related quarantine measures. First, a Heckman type gravity model is used to estimate the trade impact and second, a spatial partial equilibrium simulation model is developed to simulate welfare changes. The simulation model considers spread and transmission risk according to the disease status of the importing country as well as parameter uncertainty of the calibrated coefficients by using a Monte Carlo approach. The econometric results show that the principle of regionalization is preferred to import trade bans for uncooked meat. The simulation results verify the negative welfare impact of currently implemented regulatory policies and indicate that significant trade diversion effects according to the disease status of countries occur. The welfare results confirm that a trade ban is not the most appropriate measure to address the infection risk resulting from the spread of the avian influenza virus.

Keywords: Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 27
Date: 2012-02-13
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-cmp
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

Downloads: (external link)
https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/122022/files/dispap12_02.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Assessment of the Impact of Avian Influenza–related Regulatory Policies on Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare (2012)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ubfred:122022

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.122022

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Discussion Papers from University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by AgEcon Search ().