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The Effect of Uncertainty on Contingent Valuation Estimates: A Comparison

Sabina L. Shaikh, Lili Sun and Gerrit van Kooten

No 37025, Working Papers from University of Victoria, Resource Economics and Policy

Abstract: We examine the impact of uncertainty on contingent valuation responses using (1) a survey of Canadian landowners about willingness to accept compensation for converting cropland to forestry and (2) a survey of Swedish residents about willingness to pay for forest conservation. Five approaches from the literature for incorporating respondent uncertainty are used and compared to the traditional RUM model with assumed certainty. The results indicate that incorporating uncertainty has the potential to increase fit, but could introduce additional variance. While some methods for uncertainty are an improvement over traditional approaches, we caution against systematic judgments about the effect of uncertainty on contingent valuation responses.

Keywords: Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 34
Date: 2005-11
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:uvicwp:37025

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37025

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