Forecasting price movements: An application of discriminant analysis

D. J. Menkhaus and R. M. Adams

No 291651, WAEA/ WFEA Conference Archive (1929-1995) from Western Agricultural Economics Association

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate a technique, discriminant analysis, which might be useful in predicting the direction of movement of fall feeder calf prices to spring yearling prices. The discriminant analysis approach is then compared to regression in predicting the direction of price movement. Finally, the usefulness of incorporating the direction of price movement as a variable in a price prediction model is evaluated. Results suggest that the discriminant analysis approach and the prediction and use of the direction of price movement as a variable in forecasting models provides useful information and improves forecasts.

Keywords: Demand and Price Analysis; Agricultural and Food Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 18
Date: 1980-07-20
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:waeaar:291651

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.291651

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