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DECOMPOSING PRODUCER PRICE RISK: AN ANALYSIS OF LIVESTOCK MARKETS IN NORTHERN KENYA

Christopher Barrett () and Winnie K. Luseno

No 36154, 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah from Western Agricultural Economics Association

Abstract: This paper introduces a simple method of price risk decomposition that determines the extent to which producer price risk is attributable to volatile inter-market margins, intra-day variation, intra-week (day of week) variation, or seasonality. We apply the method to livestock markets in northern Kenya, a setting of dramatic price volatility where price stabilization is a live policy issue. Large, variable inter-market basis is the single most important factor in explaining producer price risk in animals typically traded between markets. Local market conditions explain most price risk in other markets, in which traded animals rarely exit the region. Seasonality accounts for relatively little price risk faced by pastoralists in the dry lands of northern Kenya.

Keywords: Livestock Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:waealo:36154

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.36154

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