Developed Speculation and Under Developed Markets - The Role of Futures Trading on Export Prices in Less Developed Countries

T. Randall Fortenbery and Hector O. Zapata

No 12592, Staff Papers from University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics

Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between New York coffee futures and cash export prices in Guatemala and Honduras . Cointegration tests suggest that the futures market is serving its price discovery function, and provides a vehicle by which to manage the domestic price risk in export countries. However, further analysis finds that as the percent of speculative open interest increases in the coffee futures market, price volatility increases. This suggests that cash market price risk in exporting countries may actually increase as a result of futures trading activity in developed country futures exchanges.

Keywords: International; Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 31
Date: 2004
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Developed speculation and underdeveloped markets--the role of futures trading on export prices in less developed countries (2004)
Working Paper: Developed Speculation and Under Developed Markets - The Role of Futures Trading on Export Prices in Less Developed Countries (2004)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:wisagr:12592

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.12592

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