Macroeconomic Volatility and Trade in OLG Economies

Antoine Le Riche (antoinelerichee@yahoo.fr)
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Antoine Le Riche: Aix-Marseille University (Aix-Marseille School of Economics), GREQAM, CNRS & EHESS, http://www.greqam.fr/en/users/le-riche#profile-doctorants

No 1446, AMSE Working Papers from Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France

Abstract: This chapter analyzes the effect of international trade on the local stability properties of economies in a Heckscher-Ohlin free-trade equilibrium. We formulate a two-factor (capital and labor), two-good (consumption and investment), two-country overlapping generations model where countries only differ with respect to their discount rate. We consider a CES non increasing returns to scale technology in the consumption good sector and a Leontief constant returns to scale technology in the investment good sector. In the autarky equilibrium and the free-trade equilibrium, we show the existence of endogenous cycles with dynamic efficiency when the consumption good is capital intensive, the value of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution in consumption is intermediate and the degree of returns to scale is sufficiently high. Finally using a numerical simulation, we show that period-two cycles can occur in the free-trade equilibrium although one country is characterized by saddle-point stability in the autarky equilibrium.

Keywords: Two-sector OLG model; two-country; local indeterminacy; Endogenous fluctuations; dynamic efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C62 E32 F11 F43 O41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2014-11, Revised 2014-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-gro and nep-mac
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