COVID-19 Acceleration and Vaccine Status in France - Summer 2021

Christelle Baunez (), Michaël Degoulet (), Stéphane Luchini and Patrick Pintus
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Christelle Baunez: Aix-Marseille Univ, CNRS, Institut Neurosciences Timone
Michaël Degoulet: Aix-Marseille Univ, CNRS, Institut Neurosciences Timone

No 2141, AMSE Working Papers from Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France

Abstract: Objectives: This note provides an assessment of COVID-19 acceleration among groups with different vaccine status in France. Methods: We assess viral acceleration using a novel indicator introduced in Baunez et al. (2021). The acceleration index relates the percentage change of tests that have been performed on a given day to the percentage change in the associated positive cases that same day. We compare viral acceleration among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in France over the period May 31st-August 29, 2021. Results: Once the state of the epidemic within each groups is accounted for, it turns out that viral acceleration has since mid-July converged to similar levels among vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals in France, even though viral speed is larger for the latter group compared to the former. Conclusion: Our results call for an increasing testing effort for both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, in view of the fact that viral circulation is currently accelerating at similar levels for both groups in France.

Keywords: COVID-19; vaccine status; viral acceleration; acceleration index; France (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 10 pages
Date: 2021-10
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Working Paper: COVID-19 Acceleration and Vaccine Status in France - Summer 2021 (2021)
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