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Tweedie dominance for autocalibrated predictors and Laplace transform order

Michel Denuit, Julie Huyghe, Pierre-Alexandre Simon and Julien Trufin
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Michel Denuit: Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/ISBA, Belgium
Julie Huyghe: Université Libre de Bruxelles
Pierre-Alexandre Simon: Université Libre de Bruxelles
Julien Trufin: Université Libre de Bruxelles

No 2026025, LIDAM Reprints ISBA from Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA)

Abstract: While Krüger and Ziegel [(2021). Generic conditions for forecast dominance. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 39(4), 972–983.] defined forecast dominance, or Bregman dominance as dominance for every Bregman loss function, this paper explores Tweedie dominance proposed by Denuit et al. [(2021). Autocalibration and Tweedie dominance for insurance pricing with machine learning. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 101, 485–497.] to compare competing candidate premiums. A necessary and sufficient condition is established under autocalibration. Moreover, Laplace transform order turns out to be a sufficient condition for Tweedie dominance between autocalibrated predictors. This shows that Tweedie dominance is a rather weak concept compared to Bregman dominance that reduces to the well-known convex order among autocalibrated predictors.

Keywords: Insurance pricing; tweedie distribution family; autocalibrated models; tweedie dominance; Laplace transform order (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 15
Date: 2026-01-01
Note: In: Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2026, vol. 2026(6), p. 569-583
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aiz:louvar:2026025

DOI: 10.1080/03461238.2025.2557295

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