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Fiscal policy in an emerging market business cycle model

Chetan Ghate, Pawan Gopalakrishnan and Suchismita Tarafdar (suchismita.tarafdar@snu.edu.in)
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Suchismita Tarafdar: Shiv Nadar University

Discussion Papers from Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi

Abstract: Emerging market economy business cycles are typically characterized by high consumption and output volatility, strongly counter-cyclical current accounts, and counter-cyclical real interest rates. Evidence from the wider EME and less developed economy business cycle experience suggests however that real interest rates can also be pro-cyclical. We reconcile the pro-cyclicality of real interest rates with the above facts by embedding �scal policy into a standard emerging market business cycle model. We show that �scal policy makes real interest rates a-cyclical or pro-cyclical. We use the model to replicate qualitatively some of the key features of the Indian business cycle.

Keywords: Emerging Market Business Cycles; Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy; Indian Business Cycle; Interest Rate Shocks; Macroeconomic Stabilization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 F32 F41 H2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 47 pages
Date: 2014-12
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Journal Article: Fiscal policy in an emerging market business cycle model (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Fiscal Policy in an Emerging Market Business Cycle Model (2014) Downloads
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