INET Oxford Working Papers

From Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
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2025-09: Using NLP to create preliminary causal system maps for use in policy analysis

Peter Barbrook-Johnson and Yuan Fu

2025-08: Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil

R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, J. Doyne Farmer, Penny Mealy, Fernanda Senra de Moura, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Anna Berryman, Joris Bücker and Marek Hanusch

2025-07: Intergenerational Poverty in Europe: A Latent Class Analysis

Rafael Carranza, Brian Nolan and Michele Bavaro

2025-06: Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making

Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Domenica Cox and Alexandra Penn

2025-05: Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges

Adrian Carro, Marc Hinterschweiger, Arzu Uluc, András Borsos, Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa and Aldo Glielmo

2025-04: Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates

Stefan Thurner, András Borsos, Zlata Tabachová, Christian Diem and Johannes Stangl

2025-03: Securing Public Support for Fuel Subsidy Reform: Experimental and Policymaker Insights from Malaysia

Stefania Innocenti and Preethika Bharadwaj

2025-01: Technological progress at national level: Increasing diffusion speeds with ever-changing leaders and followers

J. Doyne Farmer, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Brendon Tankwa and Lucas Vazquez Bassat

2024-09: The Dark Side of Escaping the Middle-Income Trap: A SAGE Study of Asian High-Income Countries

Dennis Snower and Fernanda Ortega

2024-08: Examining the Dynamics of Saving Inequality between 1995 and 2018: Evidence from 10 Western Countries

Jad Moawad

2024-07: Monopsony Power and Poverty: The Consequences of Walmart Supercenter Openings

Lukas Lehner, Zachary Parolin, Clemente Pignatti and Rafael Pintro Schmitt

2024-06: Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model

Marco Pangallo, François Lafond, J. Doyne Farmer, Samuel Wiese, John Muellbauer, José Moran, Joel Dyer, Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa and Anisoara Calinescu

2024-05: From catch-up to frontier: The utility model as a learning device to escape the middle-income trap

Kerstin Hötte and Su Jung Jee

2024-04: National accounting from the bottom up using large-scale financial transactions data: An application to input-output tables

Kerstin Hötte and Andreina Naddeo

2024-03: The Gender Wealth Gap and the Role of Private Pension Wealth in Great Britain

Brian Nolan and Juan C. Palomino

2024-02: Measuring artificial intelligence: A systematic assessment and implications for governance

Kerstin Hötte, Taheya Tarannum, Vilhelm Verendel and Lauren Bennett

2024-01: Simulating Long-Run Wealth Distribution and Transmission: The Role of Intergenerational Transfers

Michele Bavaro, Stefano Boscolo and Simone Tedeschi

2023-29: Changing Household Structures, Household Employment, and Poverty Trends in Rich Countries

Brian Nolan, Leo Azzollini and Richard Breen

2023-28: Employment dynamics in a rapid decarbonization of the power sector

Anton Pichler, R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, J. Farmer, Matthew Ives and Joris Bücker

2023-27: Why net worth is the wrong concept for explaining consumption: evidence from Italy

John Muellbauer, Riccardo De Bonis, Danilo Liberati and Concetta Rondinelli

2023-26: Sequencing decarbonization policies to manage their macroeconomic impacts

Steven Fries

2023-25: Increasing the acceptability of carbon taxation: The role of social norms and economic reasoning

Ximeng Fang and Stefania Innocenti

2023-24: Recoupling: The driver of Human Success

Dennis Snower

2023-23: Are financial markets pricing the net zero carbon transition? A reconsideration of the carbon premium

Matteo Gasparini

2023-22: Intergenerational Poverty Persistence in Europe - Is There a 'Great Gatsby Curve' for Poverty?

Rafael Carranza, Brian Nolan and Michele Bavaro

2023-21: Modelling labour market transitions: the case of productivity shifts in Brazil

R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, J. Farmer, Penny Mealy, Fernanda Senra de Moura, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Anna Berryman, Joris Bücker and Marek Hanusch

2023-20: Increasing inequality between countries in key renewable energy costs

Peter Barbrook-Johnson and Brendon Tankwa

2023-19: Reconstructing supply networks

François Lafond, Luca Mungo, Alexandra Brintrup and Diego Garlaschelli

2023-18: Temporal criticality

José Moran, Frank P. Pijpers, Utz Weitzel, Debabrata Panja, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Matthijs Romeijnders and Pierre Le Doussal

2023-17: The Economics of Coal Phaseouts

Sugandha Srivastav and Michael Zaehringer

2023-16: Liquidity Spirals

J. Farmer, Garbrand Wiersema and Esti Kemp

2023-14: Intellectual Property Rights, Climate Technology Transfer and Innovation in Developing Countries

Kerstin Hötte, Su Jung Jee, Robert Burrell and Caoimhe Ring

2023-13: Temporal criticality in socio-technical systems

José Moran, Frank P. Pijpers, Utz Weitzel, Debabrata Panja and Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

2023-12: Why we need a green land value tax and how to design it

John Muellbauer

2023-11: Are financial regulations impairing the transition to net zero?

Matthew Ives, Eric Beinhocker, Matteo Gasparini, Sophie Fry and Ben Carr

2023-10: Automation and Taxation

Kerstin Hötte, Pantelis Koutroumpis and Angelos Theodorakopoulos

2023-09: AI Technological Trajectories in Patent Data: General Purpose Technology and Concentration of Actors

Kerstin Hötte, Taheya Tarannum, Vilhelm Verendel and Lauren Bennett

2023-08: Firm-level production networks: what do we (really) know?

François Lafond, Pablo Astudillo-Estévez, Andrea Bacilieri and András Borsos

2023-07: Greening our Laws: Revising Land Acquisition Law for Coal Mining in India

Sugandha Srivastav and Tanmay Singh

2023-06: The political economy of AI: Towards democratic control of the means of prediction

Maximilian Kasy

2023-05: Reconstructing firm-level input-output networks from partial information

Pablo Astudillo-Estévez and Andrea Bacilieri

2023-04: Facilitating deep decarbonization via sector coupling of green hydrogen and ammonia

Matthew Ives, Zac Cesaro, Rasmus Bramstoft and René Bañares-Alcántara

2023-02: Revealing production networks from firm growth dynamics

Luca Mungo and José Moran

2023-01: Estimating Very Large Demand Systems

Joshua Lanier, Jeremy Large and John Quah

2022-30: Calibrating Agent-based Models to Microdata with Graph Neural Networks

J. Farmer, Joel Dyer, Patrick Cannon and Sebastian Schmon

2022-29: Employing the unemployed of Marienthal: Evaluation of a guaranteed job program

Lukas Lehner and Maximilian Kasy

2022-28: Counterparty choice, maturity shifts and market freezes: lessons from the e-MID interbank market

Susanna Saroyan

2022-27: Using data-driven systems mapping to contextualise complexity economics insights

Fernanda Senra de Moura and Peter Barbrook-Johnson

2022-26: Fair Social Contracts and the Foundations of Large-Scale Collaboration

Eric Beinhocker

2022-25: Could Spain be less different? Exploring the effects of macroprudential policy on the house price cycle

Adrian Carro