INET Oxford Working Papers

From Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford
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2025-26: Using vision-language models to extract network data from images of system maps

Jordan White

2025-25: Land, Housing and the British Economy: background paper

John Muellbauer

2025-24: Dynamics of sovereign debt: credit risk and sustainability analysis

Karolina Bassa and Rama Cont

2025-23: The Effects of Minimum Wage Increases on Poverty and Food Hardship

Lukas Lehner, Hannah Massenbauer, Zachary Parolin and Rafael Pintro Schmitt

2025-22: The Earned Income Tax Credit and the Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty

Zachary Parolin, Benjamin Glasner, Ronald Mincy and Christopher Wimer

2025-21: Labor Markets as Human Ecosystems: The Insider-Outsider Theory Reconsidered

Dennis Snower

2025-20: Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics

Eric Beinhocker and Jenna Bednar

2025-19: Managing the impact of energy transition path uncertainty on European infrastructure investments

David Nelson, Ada Kinczyk and Carlos Perez Villanueva

2025-18-b: Q&A for: Britain needs a wealth tax on property

John Muellbauer

2025-18-a: Potential revenue gains from reforming Council Tax for bands G and H properties

John Muellbauer

2025-17: Who rides the renewable cost curve? Country evidence on prices, learning, and policy

Brendon Tankwa and Pete Barbrook-Johnson

2025-16: Closing the Investment Gap: How Targeted Financial Information Reduces Demographic Gaps in ETF Allocation

Jad Moawad

2025-15: Do common shocks drive changes in aggregate emissions intensity?

Xiyu Ren, Fulvia Marotta and François Lafond

2025-14: Firm-level production networks: what do we (really) know?

Andrea Bacilieri, András Borsos, Pablo Astudillo-Estévez, Mads Hoefer and François Lafond

2025-13: Parents' Education and Children's Household Income Across Cohorts in Europe

Michele Bavaro, Rafael Carranza and Brian Nolan

2025-12: Will national renewable costs continue declining?

Lennart Baumgärtner and J. Doyne Farmer

2025-11: Innovation Bandits: A Dynamic Portfolio Strategy with Endogenous Rewards

Lennart Baumgärtner, Laurin Köhler-Schindler and Jacquelyn Pless

2025-10: Forecasting technological progress

François Lafond

2025-09: Using NLP to create preliminary causal system maps for use in policy analysis

Yuan Fu and Peter Barbrook-Johnson

2025-08: Skill and spatial mismatches for sustainable development in Brazil

Anna Berryman, Joris Bücker, Fernanda Senra de Moura, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Marek Hanusch, Penny Mealy, J. Doyne Farmer and R. Maria del Rio-Chanona

2025-07: Intergenerational Poverty in Europe: A Latent Class Analysis

Michele Bavaro, Rafael Carranza and Brian Nolan

2025-06: Systems thinking in UK environmental policy making

Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Domenica Cox and Alexandra Penn

2025-05: Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges

András Borsos, Adrian Carro, Aldo Glielmo, Marc Hinterschweiger, Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa and Arzu Uluc

2025-04: Combined climate stress testing of supply-chain networks and the financial system with nation-wide firm-level emission estimates

Zlata Tabachová, Christian Diem, Johannes Stangl, András Borsos and Stefan Thurner

2025-03: Securing Public Support for Fuel Subsidy Reform: Experimental and Policymaker Insights from Malaysia

Preethika Bharadwaj and Stefania Innocenti

2025-01: Technological progress at national level: Increasing diffusion speeds with ever-changing leaders and followers

Brendon Tankwa, Lucas Vazquez Bassat, Peter Barbrook-Johnson and J. Doyne Farmer

2024-09: The Dark Side of Escaping the Middle-Income Trap: A SAGE Study of Asian High-Income Countries

Fernanda Ortega and Dennis Snower

2024-08: Examining the Dynamics of Saving Inequality between 1995 and 2018: Evidence from 10 Western Countries

Jad Moawad

2024-07: Monopsony Power and Poverty: The Consequences of Walmart Supercenter Openings

Lukas Lehner, Zachary Parolin, Clemente Pignatti and Rafael Pintro Schmitt

2024-06: Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model

Samuel Wiese, Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa, Joel Dyer, José Moran, Marco Pangallo, François Lafond, John Muellbauer, Anisoara Calinescu and J. Doyne Farmer

2024-05: From catch-up to frontier: The utility model as a learning device to escape the middle-income trap

Su Jung Jee and Kerstin Hötte

2024-04: National accounting from the bottom up using large-scale financial transactions data: An application to input-output tables

Kerstin Hötte and Andreina Naddeo

2024-03: The Gender Wealth Gap and the Role of Private Pension Wealth in Great Britain

Brian Nolan and Juan C. Palomino

2024-02: Measuring artificial intelligence: A systematic assessment and implications for governance

Kerstin Hötte, Taheya Tarannum, Vilhelm Verendel and Lauren Bennett

2024-01: Simulating Long-Run Wealth Distribution and Transmission: The Role of Intergenerational Transfers

Michele Bavaro, Stefano Boscolo and Simone Tedeschi

2023-29: Changing Household Structures, Household Employment, and Poverty Trends in Rich Countries

Leo Azzollini, Richard Breen and Brian Nolan

2023-28: Employment dynamics in a rapid decarbonization of the power sector

Anton Pichler, R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, J. Farmer, Matthew Ives and Joris Bücker

2023-27: Why net worth is the wrong concept for explaining consumption: evidence from Italy

John Muellbauer, Riccardo De Bonis, Danilo Liberati and Concetta Rondinelli

2023-26: Sequencing decarbonization policies to manage their macroeconomic impacts

Steven Fries

2023-25: Increasing the acceptability of carbon taxation: The role of social norms and economic reasoning

Ximeng Fang and Stefania Innocenti

2023-24: Recoupling: The driver of Human Success

Dennis Snower

2023-23: Are financial markets pricing the net zero carbon transition? A reconsideration of the carbon premium

Matteo Gasparini

2023-22: Intergenerational Poverty Persistence in Europe - Is There a 'Great Gatsby Curve' for Poverty?

Rafael Carranza, Brian Nolan and Michele Bavaro

2023-21: Modelling labour market transitions: the case of productivity shifts in Brazil

R. Maria del Rio-Chanona, J. Farmer, Penny Mealy, Fernanda Senra de Moura, Peter Barbrook-Johnson, Anna Berryman, Joris Bücker and Marek Hanusch

2023-20: Increasing inequality between countries in key renewable energy costs

Peter Barbrook-Johnson and Brendon Tankwa

2023-19: Reconstructing supply networks

François Lafond, Luca Mungo, Alexandra Brintrup and Diego Garlaschelli

2023-18: Temporal criticality

José Moran, Frank P. Pijpers, Utz Weitzel, Debabrata Panja, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Matthijs Romeijnders and Pierre Le Doussal

2023-17: The Economics of Coal Phaseouts

Sugandha Srivastav and Michael Zaehringer

2023-16: Liquidity Spirals

J. Farmer, Garbrand Wiersema and Esti Kemp

2023-14: Intellectual Property Rights, Climate Technology Transfer and Innovation in Developing Countries

Kerstin Hötte, Su Jung Jee, Robert Burrell and Caoimhe Ring