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Forecasting technological progress

François Lafond

INET Oxford Working Papers from Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford

Abstract: After a brief history of technological forecasting, I synthesize our work at the Institute for New Economic Thinking over the last decade developing time series models for performance curves. I conclude with ongoing efforts and a research agenda.

Keywords: Performance curves; Experience curves; Diffusion curves; Patent networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 35 pages
Date: 2025-03
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