International Spillovers of ECB Interest Rates Monetary Policy & Information Effects

Santiago Camara

No 250, Working Papers from Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE)

Abstract: This paper shows that disregarding the information effects around the European Central Bank monetary policy decision announcements biases its international spillovers. Using data from 23 economies, both Emerging and Advanced, I show that following an identification strategy that disentangles pure monetary policy shocks from information effects lead to international spillovers on industrial production, exchange rates and equity indexes which are between 2 to 3 times larger in magnitude than those arising from following the standard high frequency identification strategy. This bias is driven by pure monetary policy and information effects having intuitively opposite international spillovers. Results are present for a battery of robustness checks: for a sub-sample of “close” and “further away” countries, for both Emerging and Advanced economies, using local projection techniques and for alternative methods that control for “information effects”. I argue that this biases may have led a previous literature to disregard or find little international spillovers of ECBrates

Keywords: ECB monetary policy; Information Effects; International Spillovers; Emerging Markets; Advanced Economies. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F1 F4 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 38 pages
Date: 2023-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-fdg, nep-mfd, nep-mon and nep-opm
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https://rednie.eco.unc.edu.ar/files/DT/250.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: International Spillovers of ECB Interest Rates: Monetary Policy & Information Effects (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aoz:wpaper:250

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