PRECISELY WRONG OR ROUGHLY RIGHT? AN EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT VIABILITY MODELS
Patrick McAllister and
Peter Byrne
ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES)
Abstract:
In the UK, the financial viability of real estate development has become increasingly central to planning policy formation and implementation. As the range of users that relies on viability appraisals has widened considerably, viability modelling has become increasingly contested and the composition of viability models has come more detailed scrutiny. Development appraisal techniques are recognised to contain a number of unrealistic and flawed assumptions. Essentially, this paper investigates the extent to which these limitations of development viability models matter. We examine whether model composition in terms of the complexity of information content and choice of development viability approach has significant effects on models outputs. In the first section, viability models are briefly discussed in the wider context of model formation. In the second part, drawing upon a review of the literature, the composition of viability models is critically evaluated and previous research in this area is reviewed. In the empirical section of the paper, simulation techniques are applied to a range of viability models in order to assess the extent to which choice of model affects the output or decision.
JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-01-01
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:
Downloads: (external link)
https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2010-305 (text/html)
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2010_305
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Architexturez Imprints ().