Pair-wise Convergence of Intra-city House Prices in Beijing

Tommaso Gabrieli, Theodore Panagiotidis and Yishuang Xu

ERES from European Real Estate Society (ERES)

Abstract: This paper examines the long-run convergence of houses price across the eighteen Beijing districts using monthly dataset that span from January 2006 to December 2014. Following a pair-wise approach, we conduct unit root tests on all N(N-1)/2 possible pairs of housing price differentials across the N districts of Beijing. By doing so we do not select any base-district or regional average as the benchmark. A two-stage approach is employed . In the first stage, unit root tests are employed to investigate the convergence (stationarity) of house price differentials across Beijing. Over half of the intra-city house price differentials are found to be stationary. The second stage of the investigates the drivers of convergence. The probability of a pair being stationarity is affected by income differentials across the eighteen districts, as well as the demographics differentials and supply-side factors. Last we reveal that the half-life of a shock towards long-run price equilibrium is positively affected by distance and housing supply while little evidence can be found for the influence of income and population density.

Keywords: Chinese House Prices; Cointegration; House Price Convergence; Pair-wise approach (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-01-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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Related works:
Journal Article: Pair-wise convergence of intra-city house prices in Beijing (2019)
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