Economic and spatial modelling for estimating supply of perennial crops’ biomass in Poland

P. Mathiou (), Stelios Rozakis, Rafal Pudelko () and Antoni Faber ()
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P. Mathiou: Department of Agricultural Economics and Development Agricultural University of Athens, Greece "
Rafal Pudelko: Department of Agrometeorology and Applied Informatics, Institute of Soil Sciences and Plant Cultivation (IUNG), State Research Institute, Czartoryskich 8, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland
Antoni Faber: Department of Agrometeorology and Applied Informatics, Institute of Soil Sciences and Plant Cultivation (IUNG), State Research Institute, Czartoryskich 8, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland

No 2012-2, Working Papers from Agricultural University of Athens, Department Of Agricultural Economics

Abstract: Among measures to promote renewable energy the electricity feed-in tariff scheme is extensively used in many countries to meet the goals set by governments related to energy independence and mitigation of greenhouse effect. In this paper, an agricultural supply spatial model is run to estimate biomass plantations adoption by Polish farmers at the municipal level. Detailed spatial and agronomic information is used limiting potential areas to the less fertile land, focusing on certain land classes where research undertaken by IUNG has provided reliable estimates for willow and miscanthus cultivation needs and production yields. Decisions on multi-year land use for dedicated energy plantations replacing conventional annual crops such as rye and triticale are driven by discounted cash flow analysis. An appropriate mathematical model is built in order to estimate biomass for energy supply for a range of hypothetical prices offered by coal fueled power plants. Parametric optimization results are shown in supply curve form in order to determine efficient price levels. Results are illustrated also in terms of crop acreages as well as spatial distribution at the national level in NUTS5 resolution

Keywords: Willow; Miscanthus; Cost analysis; Mathematical programming; Biomass Supply; Feed-in tariffs; Spatial analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q16 Q41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 21 pages
Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-ene, nep-env and nep-eur
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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