Estimation of Dynamic Latent Variable Models Using Simulated Nonparametric Moments
Michael Creel () and
Dennis Kristensen
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Michael Creel: http://pareto.uab.es/
UFAE and IAE Working Papers from Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC)
Abstract:
Abstract. Given a model that can be simulated, conditional moments at a trial parameter value can be calculated with high accuracy by applying kernel smoothing methods to a long simulation. With such conditional moments in hand, standard method of moments techniques can be used to estimate the parameter. Because conditional moments are calculated using kernel smoothing rather than simple averaging, it is not necessary that the model be simulable subject to the conditioning information that is used to define the moment conditions. For this reason, the proposed estimator is applicable to general dynamic latent variable models. It is shown that as the number of simulations diverges, the estimator is consistent and a higher-order expansion reveals the stochastic difference between the infeasible GMM estimator based on the same moment conditions and the simulated version. In particular, we show how to adjust standard errors to account for the simulations. Monte Carlo results show how the estimator may be applied to a range of dynamic latent variable (DLV) models, and that it performs well in comparison to several other estimators that have been proposed for DLV models.
Keywords: dynamic latent variable models; simulation-based estimation; simulated moments; kernel regression; nonparametric estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 C14 C15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 43
Date: 2009-11-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)
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http://pareto.uab.es/wp/2009/79209.pdf (application/pdf)
Related works:
Journal Article: Estimation of dynamic latent variable models using simulated non‐parametric moments (2012) 
Working Paper: Estimation of Dynamic Latent Variable Models Using Simulated Nonparametric Moments (2008) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aub:autbar:792.09
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