State-Dependent Effect on Voter Turnout: The Case of US House Elections
Panagiotis Konstantinou (),
Theodore Panagiotidis () and
Costas Roumanias ()
Additional contact information
Panagiotis Konstantinou: AUEB
Costas Roumanias: Department of International and European Economic Studies, Athens University of Economics and Business
No 1902, DEOS Working Papers from Athens University of Economics and Business
In models of voter participation, the effects of election margin and campaign expenditure can be shown to be state-dependent - varying with low/high turnout. We empirically assess these implications for observed turnout, employing data from US House elections from 2000 to 2008 by means of quantile regression analysis. We document that the effects of expected election margin and campaign spending on turnout are state-dependent: the later is positive and decreasing, whereas the former is negative and U-shaped. Other determinants' influence on turnout (e.g. education, population density) is also shown to vary across the conditional distribution of turnout rate. Our findings are robust to a number of extensions.
Keywords: Voter Turnout; Election Margin; Campaign Expenditure; Quantile Regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/State.Dependent.Effect.on.Voter.Turnout.pdf First version (application/pdf)
Working Paper: State-Dependent Effect on Voter Turnout: The Case of US House Elections (2019)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aue:wpaper:1902
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in DEOS Working Papers from Athens University of Economics and Business Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Ekaterini Glynou ().