Sustainable Systems Transformations away from the Permanent Multi-Crisis
Phoebe Koundouri,
Angelos Alamanos,
Giannis Arampatzidis and
Lydia Papadaki ()
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Phoebe Koundouri: Dept. of International and European Economic Studies, Athens University of Economics and Business
No 2601, DEOS Working Papers from Athens University of Economics and Business
Abstract:
The current "multi-crisis" is not a set of separate shocks but a tightly interconnected system of climate and biodiversity pressures, food-energy-water insecurity, macroeconomic fragility, widening inequalities, rapid urbanization, and geopolitical stress. While the SDGs provide an integrated blueprint for action, progress remains insufficient, pointing to a persistent gap between global ambition and operational delivery. This study argues that closing this gap requires a practical Global Commons for implementation, one that can translate policy choices and investments into measurable outcomes, account for cross-sector feedbacks, and support locally feasible pathways. We present the Global Climate Hub (GCH), an AE4RIA-SDSN anchored initiative that combines physical and socio-economic modelling with policy-relevant modelling and participatory co-design. The GCH methodology is organized in three stages: (i) continuous SDG measurement through harmonized data pipelines, spatial diagnostics, and digital twins; (ii) co-designed transformation pathways generated through living labs and coupled model chains (energy, land use, water risk, transport, health, and beyond-GDP welfare and trade outcomes) to quantify synergies, trade-offs, and distributional effects; and (iii) financing, equity, and capacity-building mechanisms that connect pathways to investable roadmaps and strengthen the skills required for sustained implementation. By integrating quantification with stakeholder ownership and open decision-support tools, the GCH positions modelling as a practical instrument for policy prototyping, learning, and course correction. The approach is directly relevant to the evidence mandate of the 2027 Global Sustainable Development Report, offering a pathway-oriented basis for accelerating SDG implementation to 2030 and informing longer-term transformation beyond it.
Keywords: Global Climate Hub; sustainable transformation; systems transformation; stakeholder engagement; sustainable pathways (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-01-09
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