The potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on learning

Luis Monroy-Gómez-Franco, Roberto Vélez Grajales and Luis Lopez-Calva

Working Papers from Centro de Estudios Espinosa Yglesias

Abstract: This paper use a new database for Mexico to model the possible long-run effects of the pandemic on learning. First, based on the framework of Neidhöfer et al. (2021), the authors estimate the loss of schooling due to the transition from in-person to remote learning using data from the ESRU Survey on Social Mobility in Mexico 2017 (ESRU-EMOVI-2017), census data and national statistics of COVID-19 incidence. Secondly, the authors estimate the potential long-run consequences of this shock through a calibrated learning profile for five Mexican regions following Kaffenberger and Pritchett (2021). Assuming the distance learning policy adopted by the Mexican government is entirely effective, the results indicate that a learning loss equivalent to the learning during a third of a school year in the short run translates into a learning loss equivalent to an entire school year further up the educational career of students. On the other hand, if the policy was ineffective, the short-run loss increases to an entire school year and becomes a loss of two years of learning in the long run.

Keywords: Temas; selectos (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 1-42
Date: 2021
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
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https://ceey.org.mx/the-potential-effects-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-on-learning/ (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on learnings (2022)
Working Paper: The potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on learning (2021)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:auk:ecosoc:2021_08

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