Trading patterns at the Tokyo Stock Exchange, 1931-1940

Jean-Pascal Bassino () and Thomas Lagoarde-Segot

No 12, CEH Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University

Abstract: This paper relies on daily price indices for stocks and bonds to analyze the functioning of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) in the period 1931-1940. Although the TSE was a large and liquid market, its pricing mechanisms significantly deviated from weak-form efficiency. In this context, zaibatsu insiders were able to make abnormal returns via informed trading, while other uninformed investors could rely on technical rules to make abnormal profits. The TSE was a risky financial environment in which investors adjusted their portfolios significantly in the aftermath of major events. Potential herding behaviours, price manipulation and reciprocal positive causality (contagion) were observed across markets. These deficiencies may partially explain Japan’s shift to bank-centered finance after WWII.

Keywords: emerging stock markets; technical trading; herding; event analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 N25 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-02
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:auu:hpaper:012

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