Government Debt and Economic Growth:Estimating the Debt Thresholds and Debt Intolerance

Vighneswara Swamy

No 362, IEG Working Papers from Institute of Economic Growth

Abstract: In the context of rising government debt levels in advanced economies and the ongoing euro zone debt crisis, there has been a revival of academic and policy debate on the impact of growing government debt on economic growth. This data-rich study offers an econometric investigation of the macroeconomic determinants of government debt and answers the much-debated question –What factors influence the government debt in a sovereign country? The study provides analyses for economy groupings, political governance groupings and income groupings of countries in addition to the full sample. Panel Granger causality testing is employed to establish causality running from the determinants of debt. The results of the full sample analysis reveal that real GDP growth, foreign direct investment, government expenditure, inflation and population growth have negative effect on debt. Gross fixed capital formation, final consumption expenditure, and trade openness have positive effect on debt. The results for different country groupings bring out some interesting implications

Keywords: Government debt; economic growth; panel data; nonlinearity; country groupings (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 C36 E62 H63 O40 O5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published as Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, 2015, pages 1-33

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Related works:
Working Paper: Government Debt and Economic Growth:Estimating the Debt Thresholds and Debt Intolerance (2015)
Working Paper: Government Debt and Economic Growth: Estimating the Debt Thresholds and Debt Intolerance (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:awe:wpaper:362

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