Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions Through Higher Unconditional Moments

Alain Guay
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Alain Guay: University of Quebec in Montreal

No 20-19, Working Papers from Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management

Abstract: This paper pursues two objectives. First, we determine the sufficient condition for local, statistical identification of SVAR processes through the third and fourth unconditional moments of the reduced-form innovations. Our findings provide novel insights when the entire system is not identified, as they highlight which subset of structural parameters is identified and which is not. Second, we elaborate a tractable testing procedure to verify whether the identification condition holds, prior to the estimation of the structural parameters of the SVAR process. To do so, we design a new bootstrap procedure that improves the small sample properties of rank tests for the symmetry and kurtosis of the structural shocks.

Keywords: Bootstrap procedure; excess kurtosis; identification condition; rank test; skewness; structural vector autoregression. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C32 C51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 57 pages
Date: 2020-10
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published, Journal of Econometrics

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https://chairemacro.esg.uqam.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/146/MS2019348_paper.pdf Revised version, 2020 (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bbh:wpaper:20-19

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