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Non-linéarité de la courbe de Phillips: un survol de la littérature

Renaud St-Cyr

No 2018-3, Staff Analytical Notes from Bank of Canada

Abstract: The paper reviews evidence from the economic literature on the nature of the relationship between excess capacity and inflation, better known as the Phillips curve. In particular, we examine the linearity of this relationship. This is an important issue in the current economic context in which advanced economies are approaching or exceed their potential output. In fact, several theoretical frameworks in the literature support the existence of non-linearity in the Phillips curve. To that end, we review 35 international studies that empirically analyze the shape of the Phillips curve in advanced economies. Most of the studies reviewed find evidence supporting a convex Phillips curve. This result would imply a stronger relationship between excess capacity and inflation during periods of high economic activity relative to periods of low economic activity.

Keywords: Inflation and prices; International topics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E E3 E31 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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