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Markets Look Beyond the Headline

Bruno Feunou, James Kyeong and Raisa Leiderman

No 2018-37, Staff Analytical Notes from Bank of Canada

Abstract: Many reports and analyses interpret the release of new economic data based on the headline surprise—for instance, total inflation, real GDP growth and the unemployment rate. However, we find that headline news alone cannot adequately explain the responses of market prices to new information. Rather, market prices react more strongly, on average, to non-headline news such as the composition of GDP growth, quality of jobs created and revisions to past data. Thus, tracking the impact of non-headline information released on the news day is crucial in analyzing how markets interpret and react to new economic data.

Keywords: Asset Pricing; Exchange rates; Interest rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E E4 E43 G G1 G12 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 9 pages
Date: 2018
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