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Simulation of the term structure. An application for measuring the interest rate risk

Mirta González () and María Cecilia Pérez ()
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Mirta González: Central Bank of Argentina
María Cecilia Pérez: Central Bank of Argentina

No 201570, BCRA Working Paper Series from Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department

Abstract: In order to provide a tool for risk management improvement and appropriate regulation, a methodology for measuring interest rate risk is applied in this paper. After estimating and simulating the interest rate term structure, the value at risk and expected shortfall are calculated on a portfolio. An application of alpha-stable distributions has allowed representing the asymmetric, leptokurtic and heavy tailed shape of financial returns and occurrence of extreme scenarios.

Keywords: interest rate risk; regulation; risk management; term structure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C16 E43 E59 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 32 pages
Date: 2015-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-rmg
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