The schooling response to a sustained increase in low-skill wages: evidence from Spain 1989-2009
Aitor Lacuesta (),
Sergio Puente and
Ernesto Villanueva ()
No 1208, Working Papers from Banco de España
The response of human capital accumulation to changes in the anticipated returns to schooling determines the type of skills supplied to the labor market, the productivity of future cohorts, and the evolution of inequality. Unlike the US, the UK or Germany, Spain has experienced since 1995 a drop in the returns to medium and tertiary education and, with a lag, a drop in schooling attainment of recent cohorts, providing the opportunity to estimate the response of different forms of human capital acquisition to relative increases in low-skill wages. We measure the expected returns to schooling using skill-specific wages bargained in collective agreements at the province-industry level. We argue that those wages are easily observable by youths and relatively insensitive to shifts in the supply of workers. Our preferred estimates suggest that a 10% increase in the ratio of wages of unskilled workers to the wages of mid-skill workers increases the fraction of males completing at most compulsory schooling by between 2 and 5 percentage points. The response is driven by males from less educated parents and comes at the expense of students from the academic high school track rather than the vocational training track.
Keywords: Collective bargaining; human capital (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J24 J52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 51 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-edu, nep-hrm and nep-lab
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Journal Article: The schooling response to a sustained increase in low-skill wages: evidence from Spain 1989–2009 (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bde:wpaper:1208
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