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Immigration and the macroeconomy: some new empirical evidence

Francesco Furlanetto () and Ørjan Robstad ()
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Ørjan Robstad: Norges Bank

No 1716, Working Papers from Banco de España, Working Papers Homepage

Abstract: We propose a new VAR identification scheme that enables us to disentangle immigration shocks from other macroeconomic shocks. Identification is achieved by imposing sign restrictions on Norwegian data over the period 1990Q1 - 2014Q2. The availability of a quarterly series for net immigration is crucial to achieving identification. Notably, immigration is an endogenous variable in the model and can respond to the state of the economy. We find that domestic labour supply shocks and immigration shocks are well identified and are the dominant drivers of immigration dynamics. An exogenous immigration shock lowers unemployment (even among native workers), has a small positive effect on prices and on public finances, no impact on house prices and household credit, and a negative effect on productivity.

Keywords: labour supply shocks; immigration shocks; job-related immigration; identification; VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C32 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-ure
Date: 2017-04
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http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaci ... /17/Fich/dt1716e.pdf First version, April 2017 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Immigration and the macroeconomy: some new empirical evidence (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Immigration and the macroeconomy: some new empirical evidence (2016) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bde:wpaper:1716

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