Labor market and financial shocks: a time varying analysis
Francesco Corsello () and
Valerio Nispi Landi ()
No 1179, Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area
Motivated by the events of the Great Recession, we estimate a time-varying structural VAR model to analyze the effects of a financial shock on the labor market, focusing on the US. Our results indicate that a tightening of financial conditions is highly detrimental to the labor market. Moreover, we show that financial shocks have affected the unemployment rate asymmetrically in the last three decades, an implication that a standard VAR cannot capture: while negative financial shocks have been responsible for increases in unemployment, our model does not find significant contributions of financial shocks during periods of expansion. The source of this asymmetry is the time-varying standard deviation of the identified shock, which is higher in times of financial distress; on the other hand, we find the transmission mechanism is almost constant over time.
Keywords: VAR; labor market conditions; financial markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E24 E44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ets and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/temi-disc ... 179/en_tema_1179.pdf (application/pdf)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1179_18
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().