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The catalytic role of IMF programs

Claudia Maurini () and Alessandro Schiavone ()
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Claudia Maurini: Bank of Italy
Alessandro Schiavone: Bank of Italy

No 1331, Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area

Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of IMF programs on private capital flows in the assisted countries. We look at the impact on inflows and outflows of both traditional and precautionary programs, also taking into account the characteristics of the programs. Using the entropy balancing method to address the selection bias, we find that traditional IMF programs have an anticatalytic effect on private capital inflows; this effect is mainly driven by programs that went off-track and by exceptional access programs. By contrast, precautionary programs are found to have a catalytic effect, working mainly through outflows.

Keywords: International Monetary Fund; catalysis; capital flows (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F33 F34 G11 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mon
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