Are Sovereign Wealth Funds contrarian investors?
Alessio Ciarlone and
Valeria Miceli ()
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Valeria Miceli: Universit� Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
No 972, Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) from Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area
Abstract:
This paper investigates the determinants of the investment activity of Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) at a macro level, with special emphasis on the possible reaction to a financial crisis in a potential target economy. The analysis relies upon a specially built proprietary database, which encompasses 1,903 acquisition deals spanning the period 1995-2010 and involving 29 out of the 69 existing SWFs. According to a three-step modelling approach, we find that this class of investors prefers to invest in countries with a higher degree of economic development, larger and more liquid financial markets, institutions that offer better protection of legal rights, and a more stable macroeconomic environment. Most importantly, and in stark contrast with the existing empirical literature on other major institutional investors, SWFs seem to engage in �contrarian� investment behaviour, i.e. increasing their acquisitions in countries where crises hit. The results are shown to be valid if we consider both the likelihood of a country being the target of SWFs� investments and the amount SWFs choose to invest in each country. Capital flows stemming from SWFs� acquisition activity worldwide may therefore eventually have a stabilizing effect on local markets during periods of financial turmoil, protecting the targeted countries from foreign shocks instead of propagating them globally.
Keywords: Sovereign Wealth Funds; cross-border investment; acquisition determinants; contrarian; financial crises (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F21 F65 G01 G15 G23 G34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cfn
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_972_14
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