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On the Role of Financial Aid in a Default Episode

Gabriel Cuadra (), Ramos Francia Manuel and Santiago Garcia-Verdu ()

No 2018-15, Working Papers from Banco de México

Abstract: We develop a dynamic stochastic quantitative model of sovereign default featuring fiscal policy, endogenous financial aid and risk-averse foreign lenders, in order to explore the role of financial aid in a default episode. After calibrating the model, we feed output shocks into the model to show that it captures some of the most salient features of the fiscal and debt situation in Argentina during the 1998-2002 period. This underscores the economic nature of the decision to default and the role that official aid could have taken in avoiding such an event. In effect, given the economic challenges endured by Argentina, a full-fledged default took place. In addition, we discuss a number of policy implications associated with financial aid programs aimed at preventing sovereign default episodes.

Keywords: Sovereign default; fiscal policy; financial aid (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E62 F34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-mac
Date: 2018-08
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