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Working Papers

From Banco de México
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2010-01: Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy? Downloads
Raul Ibarra
2009-18: Bankruptcy Prediction: A Comparison of Some Statistical and Machine Learning Techniques Downloads
Peña Tonatiuh, Martínez Serafín and Abudu Bolanle
2009-17: High and Low Frequency Correlations in Global Equity Markets Downloads
Robert Engle and Jose Rangel
2009-16: Explaining Taxes at the Upper Tail of the Income Distribution: The Role of Utility Interdependence Downloads
Daniel Samano
2009-15: Macroeconomic News, Announcements, and Stock Market Jump Intensity Dynamics Downloads
Jose Rangel
2009-14: A Note on the Predictive Content of PPI over CPI Inflation: The Case of Mexico Downloads
Sidaoui José Julián, Carlos Capistrán, Daniel Chiquiar and Manuel Ramos Francia
2009-13: An Unbiased Estimator of the Variance of Simple Random Sampling Using Mixed Random-Systematic Sampling Downloads
Padilla Alberto
2009-12: Endowments, Fiscal Federalism, and the Cost of Capital for States: Evidence from Brazil, 1891-1930 Downloads
Martínez André and Aldo Musacchio
2009-11: Competitiveness and Growth of the Mexican Economy Downloads
Daniel Chiquiar and Manuel Ramos Francia
2009-10: A Note on the Volatilities of the Interest Rate and the Exchange Rate Under Different Monetary Policy Instruments: Mexico 1998-2008 Downloads
Benavides Guillermo and Carlos Capistrán
2009-09: Analysis of the Dynamics of Mexican Inflation Using Wavelets Downloads
Ysusi Carla
2009-08: Statistical Analysis of Mexican Inflation at Subindex and Item Level Downloads
Ysusi Carla
2009-07: Sources of Over-Costs and Distortions in State-Owned Utilities in Mexico Downloads
Martínez Chombo Eduardo
2009-06: An Alternative Formula to Price American Options Downloads
Rocio Elizondo, Padilla Pablo and Bladt Mogens
2009-05: Using Seasonal Models to Forecast Short-Run Inflation in Mexico Downloads
Carlos Capistrán, Constandse Christian and Manuel Ramos Francia
2009-04: The evolution of fuzzy multidimensional poverty in Mexico, 1994-2006 Downloads
Eduardo Morales-Ramos
2009-03: The Factor-Spline-GARCH Model for High and Low Frequency Correlations Downloads
Jose Rangel and Robert Engle
2009-02: On the dynamics of inflation persistence around the world Downloads
Antonio Noriega and Manuel Ramos Francia
2009-01: Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Superior Performance of Conditional Combinations of Time Series and Option Implied Forecasts Downloads
Benavides Guillermo and Carlos Capistrán
2008-15: The Yield Curve and its Relation with Economic Activity: The Mexican Case Downloads
Reyna Cerecero Mario, Salazar Cavazos Diana and Salgado Banda Héctor
2008-14: Stylized Facts of the Mexican Business Cycles Downloads
Gabriel Cuadra
2008-13: Transparency and Numeric Rules in the Budgeting Process: Theory and Evidence Downloads
Amoroso Nicolás
2008-12: A Note on the Dynamics of Persistence in US Inflation Downloads
Antonio Noriega and Manuel Ramos Francia
2008-11: Experts' Macroeconomics Expectations: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-Run Forecasts Downloads
Carlos Capistrán and López Moctezuma Gabriel
2008-10: A Macroeconomic Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Mexico Downloads
Cortés Espada Josué Fernando and Manuel Ramos Francia
2008-09: An Affine Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Mexico Downloads
Cortés Espada Josué Fernando and Manuel Ramos Francia
2008-08: A Note on Mexico and U.S. Manufacturing Industries' Long-term Relationship Downloads
Daniel Chiquiar and Manuel Ramos Francia
2008-07: An Empirical Analysis of the Mexican Term Structure of Interest Rates Downloads
Cortés Espada Josué Fernando, Manuel Ramos Francia and Torres García Alberto
2008-06: Intersectoral Wage Differentials and the Change of the Composition of Urban Employment in Mexico during 2001-2004 Downloads
Alcaraz Carlo, Daniel Chiquiar and Manuel Ramos Francia
2008-05: Accounting for Output Fluctuations in Mexico Downloads
Antón Sarabia Arturo
2008-04: International Evidence on Stochastic and Deterministic Monetary Neutrality Downloads
Antonio Noriega, Soria Luis M. and Velázquez Ramón
2008-03: An Analytical Approach to Merton's Rational Option Pricing Theory Downloads
Rocio Elizondo and Padilla Pablo
2008-02: Analysis of the Performance of Mexican Pension Funds: Evidence from a Stationary Bootstrap Application Downloads
Rodríguez Arnulfo, Zúñiga Gerardo and Rodríguez Pedro N.
2008-01: Determinants of Mexico's Comparative Advantages and of the Performance of its Manufacturing Exports during 1996-2005 Downloads
Amoroso Nicolás, Daniel Chiquiar, Núria Quella and Manuel Ramos Francia
2007-15: The Impact of Trend Inflation in an Open Economy Model Downloads
Fernandez-Corugedo Emilio
2007-14: Optimality Tests for Multi-Horizon Forecasts Downloads
Carlos Capistrán
2007-13: Multipower Variation Under Market Microstructure Effects Downloads
Ysusi Carla
2007-12: Comparative Advantage and the Performance of Mexican Manufacturing Exports during 1996-2005 Downloads
Daniel Chiquiar, Fragoso Edna and Manuel Ramos Francia
2007-11: Does Inflation Targeting Affect the Dispersion of Inflation Expectations? Downloads
Carlos Capistrán and Manuel Ramos Francia
2007-10: The Three Stages of Central Bank Autonomy in Mexico Downloads
Turrent y Díaz Eduardo
2007-09: Multifactor Productivity and its Determinants: An Empirical Analysis for Mexican Manufacturing Downloads
Salgado Banda Héctor and Bernal Verdugo Lorenzo E.
2007-08: Translog Cost Functions: An Application for Mexican Manufacturing Downloads
Salgado Banda Héctor and Bernal Verdugo Lorenzo E.
2007-07: Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy and the Structure of International Financial Markets Downloads
Cortés Espada Josué Fernando
2007-06: The Financial Accelerator from a Business Cycle Accounting Perspective Downloads
Antón Sarabia Arturo
2007-05: Uncertainty about the Persistence of Cost-Push Shocks and the Optimal Reaction of the Monetary Authority Downloads
Rodríguez Arnulfo, Fidel Gonzalez and González García Jesús R.
2007-04: Recursive Thick Modeling and the Choice of Monetary Policy in Mexico Downloads
Rodríguez Arnulfo and Rodríguez Pedro N.
2007-03: Fiscal Policy and Default Risk in Emerging Markets Downloads
Gabriel Cuadra and Horacio Sapriza
2007-02: Employment, Hours per Worker and the Business Cycle Downloads
Fernandez-Corugedo Emilio
2007-01: A Time Series Approach to Test a Change in Inflation Persistence: The Mexican Experience Downloads
Daniel Chiquiar, Antonio Noriega and Manuel Ramos Francia
2006-15: Inflation Dynamics in Mexico: A Characterization Using the New Phillips Curve Downloads
Manuel Ramos Francia and Torres García Alberto
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