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Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia

Orazio Attanasio, Lina Cardona-Sosa, Carlos Medina, Costas Meghir and Christian Posso

Borradores de Economia from Banco de la Republica de Colombia

Abstract: Conditional Cash transfer (CCT) programs have been shown to have positive effects on a variety of outcomes including education, consumption and health visits, amongst others. We estimate the long-run impacts of the urban version of Familias en Acción, the Colombian CCT program on crime, teenage pregnancy, high school dropout and college enrollment using a Regression Discontinuity design on administrative data. ITT estimates show a reduction on arrest rates of 2.7pp for men and a reduction on teenage pregnancy of 2.3pp for women. High school dropout rates were reduced by 5.8pp and college enrollment was increased by 1.7pp for men. **** RESUMEN: Los programas de transferencias condicionadas de dinero (CCT) han mostrado tener efectos positivos de corto plazo en educación, consumo, y asistencia a citas médicas, entre otros. Nosotros estimamos los impactos de largo plazo del CCT urbano Colombiano Familias en Acción sobre crimen, fecundidad adolescente, deserción escolar en secundaria, y matrícula en postsecundaria, utilizando un diseño de regresión discontinua con datos administrativos. Estimadores ITT muestran una reducción de 2.7 pp en las tasas de arresto de hombres y una reducción en la fecundidad adolescente de mujeres de 2.3 pp. Las tasas de deserción de secundaria se reducen en 5.8 pp, y para los hombres la matrícula postsecundaria se incrementa en 1.7 pp.

Keywords: CCT programs; human capital accumulation; crime; adolescent pregnancy; RDD; Programas de transferencias condicionadas; acumulación de capital humano; crimen; fecundidad adolescente; RDD. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D04 I23 I28 I38 J13 K42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 17
Date: 2021-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-isf, nep-lam and nep-ltv
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2) Track citations by RSS feed

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https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1170

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Working Paper: Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia (2021) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bdr:borrec:1170

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