The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France
Matthieu Lemoine (),
Pierre Aldama (),
Pierrick Clerc () and
Working papers from Banque de France
This paper presents the new model for France of the Banque de France (FR-BDF), as well as its key implications for the analysis of monetary policy transmission in France. Relative to our former model, this new semi-structural model has been improved along three dimensions: financial channels are richer, expectations now have an explicit role and simulations now converge toward a balanced growth path. We follow the approach of the FRB/US model, where agents can form their expectations in two different ways, VARbased or model-consistent, and where non-financial behavior react with polynomial adjustment costs. For standard monetary policy shocks, FR-BDF shows a stronger sensitivity than our former model, due to the widespread influence of expectations. Then, we show that, under model-consistent expectations, FR-BDF does not suffer from the forward guidance puzzle. Finally, Eurosystem asset purchase programmes have notable effects in FR-BDF, with a stronger transmission through exchange rates than term premia.
Keywords: : Semi-structural Modeling; Expectations; Monetary Policy; Forward Guidance. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C54 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 141 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-mon
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bfr:banfra:736
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