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The Vanishing Procyclicality of Labor Productivity

Thijs van Rens and Jordi Galí
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Jordi Galí

No 489, Working Papers from Barcelona School of Economics

Abstract: We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment rose, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage rose. We propose an explanation for all three changes that is based on a common source: the decline in labor market turnover, which reduced hiring frictions. We develop a simple model with hiring frictions, variable effort, and endogenous wage rigidities to illustrate the mechanisms underlying our explanation. We show that the decline in turnover may also have contributed to the observed decline in output volatility.

Keywords: Wage rigidities; labor hoarding; labor market turnover; hiring frictions; effort choice (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-09
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (46)

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