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Seeds of hope: Assessing the effect of development aid on the reduction of child mortality

Marcelo Soto and Roberto Burguet

No 591, Working Papers from Barcelona School of Economics

Abstract: The Millennium Declaration (2000) set as one of its targets a substantial reduction in child mortality. This paper studies whether the massive increase in development aid can account for part of the reduction in child mortality observed in developing countries since the year 2000. To do so, we analyze a panel of more than 130 developing countries over the 2000-2008 period. We use the time trend evolution of aid to identify an exogenous source of variation. Total aid has had no statistically significant effect on child mortality. However, a disaggregate analysis identifies certain sectors of aid that have had a significant impact. The effects have been larger in high mortality countries, including Sub-Saharan Africa. Projections based on our estimates strongly support the concern that most countries in that region will miss the Millennium Goals target on child mortality.

Keywords: ODA; child mortality; aid effectiveness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I15 O11 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-dem and nep-hea
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Seeds of Hope: Assessing the Effect of Development Aid on the Reduction of Child Mortality (2013) Downloads
Working Paper: Seeds of hope: Assessing the effect of development aid on the reduction of child mortality (2011) Downloads
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