Multiple Change-Point Detection in Linear Regression Models via U-Statistic Type Processes
Burcu Kapar and
Discussion Papers from Department of Economics, University of Birmingham
Many procedures have been developed that are suited to testing for multiple changes in parameters of regression models which occur at unknown times. Most notably, Brown, Durbin and Evans  and Dufour , have developed or extended existing techniques, but said extensions lack power for detecting changes (cf. Kramer, Ploberger, Alt  and Pouliot  in the intercept parameter of linear regression models. Orasch  has developed a stochastic process that easily accommodates testing for many change-points that occur at unknown times. A slight modification of his process is suggested here which improves the power of statistics fashioned from it. These statistics are then used to construct tests to detect multiple changes in intercept in linear regression models. It is also shown here that this slightly altered process, when weighted by appropriately chosen functions, is sensitive to detection of multiple changes in intercept that occur both early and later on in the sample, while maintaining sensitivity to changes that occur in the middle of the sample.
Keywords: Structural Breaks; U-Statistics; Brownian Bridge; Linear Regression Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 C2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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