BIS Working Papers

From Bank for International Settlements
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1273: Global portfolio investments and FX derivatives

Tsvetelina Nenova, Andreas Schrimpf and Hyun Song Shin

1272: Financial conditions and the macroeconomy: a two-factor view

Marco Jacopo Lombardi, Cristina Manea and Andreas Schrimpf

1271: Monetary policy and earnings inequality: inflation dependencies

Jaanika Meriküll and Matthias Rottner

1270: Stablecoins and safe asset prices

Rashad Ahmed and Iñaki Aldasoro

1269: Expecting job replacement by GenAI: effects on workers' economic outlook and behavior

Yusuke Aoki, Joon Suk Park, Yuya Takada and Koji Takahashi

1268: Towards verifiability of total value locked (TVL) in decentralized finance

Pietro Saggese, Michael Fröwis, Stefan Kitzler, Bernhard Haslhofer and Raphael Auer

1267: Collateralized lending in private credit

Iñaki Aldasoro and Sebastian Doerr

1266: Exchange Rate Effects on Firm Performance: A NICER Approach

Nuwat Nookhwun, Jettawat Pattararangrong and Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

1265: DeFiying gravity? An empirical analysis of cross-border Bitcoin, Ether and stablecoin flows

Raphael Auer, Ulf Lewrick and Jan Paulick

1264: Inflation cycles: evidence from international data

Alberto Americo, Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo, Johannes Damp, Sjur Nilsen, Daniel Rees, Rafael Schmidt and Christian Schmieder

1263: Fragile wholesale deposits, liquidity risk, and banks' maturity transformation

Carola Müller, Matias Ossandon Busch, Miguel Sarmiento and Freddy Pinzon-Puerto

1262: The risk sensitivity of global liquidity flows: Heterogeneity, evolution and drivers

Stefan Avdjiev, Leonardo Gambacorta, Linda S Goldberg and Stefano Schiaffi

1261: ETFs as a disciplinary device

Yuet Chau, Karamfil Todorov and Eyub Yegen

1260: Supply chain transmission of climate-related physical risks

Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo, Fernando Linardi and Luis Vissotto

1259: Let's speak the same language: a formally defined model to describe and compare payment system architectures

Kees van Hee, Anneke Kosse, Peter Wierts and Jacob Wijngaard

1258: How accurately do consumers report their debts in household surveys?

Carlos Madeira

1257: Macroprudential and monetary policy tightening: more than a double whammy?

Markus Behn, Stijn Claessens, Leonardo Gambacorta and Alessio Reghezza

1256: The disciplining effect of bank supervision: evidence from SupTech

Hans Degryse, Cédric Huylebroek and Bernardus F Nazar Van Doornik

1255: Affordable housing, unaffordable credit? Concentration and high-cost lending for manufactured homes

Sebastian Doerr and Andreas Fuster

1254: Global or Regional Safe Assets: Evidence from Bond Substitution Patterns

Tsvetelina Nenova

1253: Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction

Douglas Araujo, Nikola Bokan, Fabio Alberto Comazzi and Michele Lenza

1252: Monetary policy and the secular decline in long-term interest rates: A global perspective

Boris Hofmann, Zehao Li and Steve Pak Yeung Wu

1251: Consumer financial data and non-horizontal mergers

Linda Jeng, Jon Frost, Elisabeth Noble and Chris Brummer

1250: Predicting financial market stress with machine learning

Iñaki Aldasoro, Peter Hördahl, Andreas Schrimpf and Sonya Zhu

1249: The role of geopolitics in international trade

Han Qiu, Fan Dora Xia and James Yetman

1248: Climate Minsky moments and endogenous financial crises

Matthias Kaldorf and Matthias Rottner

1247: Geopolitics meets monetary policy: decoding their impact on cross-border bank lending

Swapan-Kumar Pradhan, Viktors Stebunovs, Elod Takats and Judit Temesvary

1246: Monetary policy along the yield curve: why can central banks affect long-term real rates?

Paul Beaudry, Paolo Cavallino and Tim Willems

1245: Putting AI agents through their paces on general tasks

Fernando Perez-Cruz and Hyun Song Shin

1244: Artificial intelligence and relationship lending

Leonardo Gambacorta, Fabiana Sabatini and Stefano Schiaffi

1243: Mutual funds and climate news

Giulio Cornelli, Leonardo Gambacorta, Tommaso Oliviero and Koji Takahashi

1242: Privacy-enhancing technologies for digital payments: mapping the landscape

Raphael Auer, Rainer Böhme, Jeremy Clark and Didem Demirag

1241: Estimating nonlinear heterogeneous agent models with neural networks

Hanno Kase, Leonardo Melosi and Matthias Rottner

1240: The granular origins of inflation

Santiago Alvarez-Blaser, Raphael Auer, Sarah Lein and Andrei Levchenko

1239: The use and disuse of FinTech credit: When buy-now-pay-later meets credit reporting

Yanfei Dong, Jiayin Hu, Yiping Huang, Han Qiu and Yingguang Zhang

1238: Fiscal stimulus plans and households' expectations

Fiorella De Fiore, Marco Lombardi and Albert Pierres Tejada

1237: The macroeconomics of green transitions

Gregor Boehl, Flora Budianto and Elod Takats

1236: Savings-and-credit contracts

Bernardus F Nazar Van Doornik, Armando Gomes, David Schoenherr and Janis Skrastins

1235: Aggregate debt servicing and the limit on private credit

Mathias Drehmann, Mikael Juselius and Sarah Quincy

1234: Targeted Taylor rules: some evidence and theory

Boris Hofmann, Cristina Manea and Benoit Mojon

1233: Fire sales of safe assets

Gabor Pinter, Emil Siriwardane and Danny Walker

1232: Bond supply, yield drifts and liquidity provision before macroeconomic announcements

Dong Lou, Gabor Pinter, Semih Üslü and Danny Walker

1231: Monetary policy in the news: communication pass-through and inflation expectations

Fiorella De Fiore, Alexis Maurin, Andrej Mijakovic and Damiano Sandri

1230: Whither inflation targeting as a global monetary standard?

Claudio Borio

1229: Through stormy seas: how fragile is liquidity across asset classes and time?

Nihad Aliyev, Matteo Aquilina, Khaladdin Rzayev and Sonya Zhu

1228: Retail fast payment systems as a catalyst for digital finance

Giulio Cornelli, Jon Frost, Jonathan Warren, Clair Yang and Carolina Velásquez

1227: Decentralised dealers? examining liquidity provision in decentralised exchanges

Matteo Aquilina, Sean Foley, Leonardo Gambacorta and William Krekel

1226: How does fiscal policy affect the transmission of monetary policy into cross-border bank lending? Cross-country evidence

Swapan-Kumar Pradhan, Elod Takats and Judit Temesvary

1225: Trade fragmentation, inflationary pressures and monetary policy

Silvana Tenreyro, Ludovica Ambrosino and Jenny Chan

1224: A theory of economic coercion and fragmentation

Matteo Maggiori, Chris Clayton and Jesse Schreger