Modeling the CO2 emissions and energy saved from new energy vehicles based on the logistic-curve
Bao-Jun Tang,
Xiao-Feng Wu and
Xian Zhang
No 20, CEEP-BIT Working Papers from Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology
Abstract:
The Chinese government has outlined plans for developing new energy vehicles (NEVs) to achieve energy conservation and emission reduction. This paper used a logistic-curve to predict the market share of NEVs in the next decade, and then calculated the potential environment benefits of each and every car or the total according to the report of IPCC (2006). The results indicated that NEVs were of benefit in achieving above goals, particularly electric vehicles (EVs). However, they will have a limited impact in the short term. Finally, considering the empirical results and the Chinese reality, this paper proposed corresponding recommendations.
Keywords: New energy vehicles; Scenario analysis; Energy saving; CO2 emissions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q20 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 12 pages
Date: 2011-10
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Journal Article: Modeling the CO2 emissions and energy saved from new energy vehicles based on the logistic-curve (2013) 
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