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The Flows of the Pacific: Asian foreign exchange markets through tranquility and turbulence

Dagfinn Rime () and Hans Jørgen Tranvåg ()

No 2012/01, Working Paper from Norges Bank

Abstract: Using the longest data set on FX order flow to date, along with the broadest coverage of currencies to date, we examine the effect of FX order flow on exchange rates across small and large currencies, currencies with floating or fixed regimes, and across both tranquil and turbulent periods. Over our 15 years of data for eleven Asian and Australasian currencies, we find that order flow has a potentially strong impact on all exchange rates in the sample. The effect is strongest on floating exchange rates, both economically and statistically, but is sizeable also on the other exchange rates, especially during periods of turbulence. By creating a measure of regional order flow, we show that all exchange rates depreciate as flows are moved out of Asia/Australasia and into US dollars. This is true both across regimes and if their own flow is not included in the structure of the regional flow.

Keywords: Order flow; microstructure; Asian and Australasian exchange rates; financial crises (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 G01 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn, nep-mon and nep-sea
Date: 2012-01-11
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https://www.norges-bank.no/en/news-events/news-pub ... pers/2012/WP-201201/

Related works:
Journal Article: FLOWS OF THE PACIFIC: ASIAN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS THROUGH TRANQUILITY AND TURBULENCE (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: The Flows of the Pacific: Asian foreign exchange markets through tranquility and turbulence (2012) Downloads
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