Working Papers

From Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School
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No 03/2023: Oil and the Stock Market Revisited: A mixed functional VAR approach: Hilde C. BjÃ¸rnland, Yoosoon Chang and Jamie L. Cross
No 02/2023: Oil Prices Uncertainty, Endogenous Regime Switching, and Inflation Anchoring: Yoosoon Chang, Ana MarÃa Herrera and Elena Pesavento
No 01/2023: The Economic Consequences of Effective Carbon Taxes: Felix Kapfhammer
No 08/2022: Dominant Drivers of National Inflation: Jan Ditzen and Francesco Ravazzolo
No 07/2022: The effect of rising energy prices amid geopolitical developments and supply disruptions: Hilde C. BjÃ¸rnland
No 06/2022: Lost in transition? Earnings losses of displaced petroleum workers: Jon Ellingsen and Caroline Espegren
No 05/2022: Macroeconomic uncertainty and bank lending: Vegard Larsen and Ragnar E. Juelsrud
No 04/2022: Monetary Policy when Export Revenues Drop: Drago Bergholt, Ã˜istein RÃ¸island, Tommy Sveen and Ragnar Torvik
No 03/2022: Local economic development and oil discoveries: Jonas Hveding Hamang
No 02/2022: Oil Windfalls and Regional Economic Performance in Russia*: Julia Skretting
No 01/2022: Quantifying supply-side climate policies: Lassi Ahlvik, Jørgen Andersen, Jonas Hveding Hamang and Torfinn Harding
No 07/2021: The household effects of mortgage regulation: Knut Are Aastveit, Ragnar Enger Juelsrud and Ella Getz Wold
No 06/2021: The Role of Precautionary and Speculative Demand in the Global Market for Crude Oil: Jamie Cross, Bao H. Nguyen and Trun Duc Tran
No 05/2021: The Price Responsiveness of Shale Producers: Evidence From Micro Data: Knut Are Aastveit, Hilde C. Bjï¿½rnland and Thomas Gundersen
No 04/2021: Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs: Jamie Cross, Chenghan Hou and Gary Koop
No 03/2021: Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil: Knut Are Aastveit, Jamie Cross and Herman K. Djik
No 02/2021: The Inefficient Combination: Competitive Markets, Free Entry, and Democracy: Halvor Mehlum, Gisle Natvik and Ragnar Torvik
No 01/2021: OPEC's crude game: Strategic Competition and Regime-switching in Global Oil Markets: Thomas Gundersen and Even Soltvedt Hvinden
No 12/2020: Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? A Markov-Switching Structural Investigation of Commodity Exporters and Importers: Hilde Christiane Bjï¿½rnland, Ragna Alstadheim and Junior Maih
No 11/2020: Oil and Fiscal Policy Regimes: Hilde Christiane Bjï¿½rnland, Roberto Casarin, Marco Lorusso and Francesco Ravazzolo
No 10/2020: Climate Risk and Commodity Currencies: Felix Kapfhammer, Vegard Larsen and Leif Thorsrud
No 09/2020: Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia: Bo Zhang, Jamie Cross and Na Guo
No 08/2020: News media vs. FRED-MD for macroeconomic forecasting: Jon Ellingsen, Vegard Larsen and Leif Thorsrud
No 07/2020: Behavioral changes and policy effects during Covid-19: Andre Anundsen, Bjørnar Karlsen Kivedal, Erling Rï¿½ed Larsen and Leif Thorsrud
No 06/2020: Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting: Matteo Iacopini, Francesco Ravazzolo and Luca Rossini
No 05/2020: Large Time-Varying Volatility Models for Electricity Prices: Angelica Gianfreda, Francesco Ravazzolo and Luca Rossini
No 04/2020: Macroeconomics in the time of the Corona: Halvor Mehlum and Ragnar Torvik
No 03/2020: Inflation expectations and the pass-through of oil prices: Knut Are Aastveit, Hilde Christiane Bjï¿½rnland and Jamie Cross
No 02/2020: The Impact of Monetary Policy on Leading Variables for Financial Stability in Norway: Helene Olsen and Harald Wieslander
No 01/2020: Deadly Variation: The Effect of Temperature Variability on Mortality: Isabel Hovdahl
No 11/2019: Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach: Davide Ferrari, Francesco Ravazzolo and Joaquin Vespignani
No 10/2019: OPEC's crude game: Even Comfort Hvinden
No 09/2019: Is Monetary Policy Always Effective? Incomplete Interest Rate Pass-through in a DSGE Model: Andrew Binning, Hilde C. Bjï¿½rnland and Junior Maih
No 08/2019: Supply flexibility in the shale patch: Facts, no fiction: Hilde C. Bjï¿½rnland
No 07/2019: A New Economic Framework: A DSGE Model with Cryptocurrency: Stylianos Asimakopoulos, Marco Lorusso and Francesco Ravazzolo
No 06/2019: Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media: Saskia ter Ellen, Vegard Larsen and Leif Thorsrud
No 05/2019: On the use of machine learning for causal inference in climate economics: Isabel Hovdahl
No 04/2019: Changing supply elasticities and regional housing booms: Knut Are Aastveit, Bruno Albuquerque and Andre Anundsen
No 03/2019: News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities: Vegard Larsen, Leif Thorsrud and Julia Zhulanova
No 02/2019: New Kid on the Block? China vs the US in World Oil Markets: Jamie Cross, Bao H. Nguyen and Bo Zhang
No 01/2019: Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting: Kenichiro McAlinn, Knut Are Aastveit, Jouchi Nakajima and Mike West
No 9/2018: State Space Models with Endogenous Regime Switching: Yoosoon Chang, Junior Maih and Fei Tan
No 8/2018: The Shale Oil Boom and the U.S. Economy: Spillovers and Time-Varying Effects: Hilde C. Bjï¿½rnland and Julia Zhulanova
No 7/2018: The Impact of U.S. Supply Shocks on the Global Oil Price: Thomas Gundersen
No 6/2018: Business cycle narratives: Vegard Larsen and Leif Thorsrud
No 5/2018: Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series: Leopoldo Catania, Stefano Grassi and Francesco Ravazzolo
No 4/2018: Dutch Disease Dynamics Reconsidered: Hilde C. Bjï¿½rnland, Leif Thorsrud and Ragnar Torvik
No 3/2018: Predicting the Volatility of Cryptocurrency Timeï¿½Series: Leopoldo Catania, Stefano Grassi and Francesco Ravazzolo
No 2/2018: Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration: Angelica Gianfreda, Francesco Ravazzolo and Luca Rossini
No 14/2018: Growth with Age-Dependent Preferences: Halvor Mehlum, Ragnar Torvik and Simone Valente

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