Commercial Rivalry as Seller Incidence Shifting: Non-parametric Accounting of the China Shock

James Anderson

No 1075, Boston College Working Papers in Economics from Boston College Department of Economics

Abstract: Intense US-China commercial rivalry is quantified in this paper with novel non-parametric relative resistance sufficient statistics. The accounting method minimizes the demand specification error variance in revealed resistances. China’s manufacturing seller incidence falls (seller price rises) 7.6% yearly as China’s sales share quadruples over 2000-14. US seller incidence rises 4.1% yearly as US sales share halves. Domestic trade shares closely fit revealed relative resistances with trade elasticity equal to one. Industrial policy pays for itself in suggestive projections. A 10% rise in US 2014 sales share reduces seller incidence 6.0%, exports rise and net benefit is positive.

Keywords: Non-parametric; seller incidence; terms of trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-05-29
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna and nep-int
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Working Paper: Commercial Rivalry as Seller Incidence Shifting: Non-parametric Accounting of the China Shock (2024)
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