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Emigration intentions and risk aversion: Causal evidence from Albania

Michel Beine

French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2022 from Stata Users Group

Abstract: Estimating the impact of risk aversion on emigration at the individual level is complicated by selection issues. In this presentation, I use original data from Albania on mobility intentions and elicited risk aversion to provide causal estimates on this relationship. My identification strategy relies on the occurrence of two earthquakes during data collection that unambiguously led to upward shifts in risk aversion as shown in an article by Beine et al. (2021). While OLS estimates fail to capture a (negative) relationship between risk aversion and emigration intention, a control function strategy using the two earthquakes as instruments uncovers such a relationship. I argue that my results highlight a new channel through which risk preferences explain the trapped population phenomenon documented in the climate change and migration literature.

Date: 2022-08-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-upt
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Working Paper: Emigration Intentions and Risk Aversion: Causal Evidence from Albania (2021) Downloads
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