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Beyond hazard ratios: Method-specific reporting for reproducible competing-risk prediction in Stata

Aisha Vayani and Mark Rutherford
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Aisha Vayani: University of Leicester
Mark Rutherford: University of Leicester

UK Stata Conference 2026 from Stata Users Group

Abstract: Reporting guidance for prediction models increasingly emphasizes transparency, reproducibility, and external validation. However, competing-risk prognostic models pose specific challenges for reporting absolute risk. Patient-level cumulative incidence predictions cannot usually be reproduced from coefficients or hazard ratios alone; they also depend on event definitions, competing-event coding, covariate transformations, baseline functions, prediction horizons, postestimation routines, and software implementation details. We aim to develop practical, method-specific recommendations for reporting competing-risk prognostic prediction models, focusing on what authors should provide so that another analyst can reproduce predicted cumulative incidence in software such as Stata.

Date: 2026-09-05
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