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The impact of the global financial crisis on business cycles in Asian emerging economies

Jarko Fidrmuc () and Iikka Korhonen

No 11/2009, BOFIT Discussion Papers from Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition

Abstract: We analyze the transmission of global financial crisis to business cycles in China and India. The pattern of business cycles in emerging Asian economies generally displays a low degree of synchronization with the OECD countries, which is consistent with the decoupling hypothesis. By contrast, however, the current financial crisis has had a significant effect on economic developments in emerging Asian economies. Applying dynamic correlations, we find wide differences for different frequencies of cyclical development. More specifically, at business cycle frequencies, dynamic correlations are typically low or negative, but they are also influenced most by the global financial crisis. Finally, we find a significant link between trade ties and dynamic correlations of GDP growth rates in emerging Asian countries and OECD countries.

Date: 2009-09-03
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Published in Published in Journal of Asian Economics, Volume 21, Issue 3, June 2010, Pages 293-303

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Related works:
Journal Article: The impact of the global financial crisis on business cycles in Asian emerging economies (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Business Cycles in Asian Emerging Economies (2009) Downloads
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