Assessing the Impact of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies on Israel's Housing Market: A DSGE Model Approach

Alex Ilek (), Nimrod Cohen and Yaakov Chen-Zion
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Alex Ilek: Bank of Israel
Nimrod Cohen: Bank of Israel
Yaakov Chen-Zion: Bank of Israel
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Yaakov Chen Zion ()

No 2024.14, Bank of Israel Working Papers from Bank of Israel

Abstract: We develop and calibrate a micro-founded DSGE model, tailored to the Israeli economy, based on key stylized facts about the Israeli economy. The model includes the housing market, both ownership and rental, and heterogeneous households. Macroprudential policy is represented by policy regarding the Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio, a common measure in both literature and practice. Our primary objective is to examine the effects of monetary and macroprudential policies on the housing market, especially on housing prices. Our findings suggest that contractionary monetary policy pushes home prices downward while real rent prices rise. Macroprudential policy does not undermine monetary policy’s ability to achieve its primary goals, although it introduces a slight distributional effect. Tighter macroprudential policy (lower LTV) significantly reduces debt and the ownership-to-rent ratio in the economy, but slightly increases home prices and real rent prices. This challenges the existing DSGE model literature, and we attribute this discrepancy to the absence of a rental market (and real estate investors) in those models. These insights indicate that while macroprudential tools can help manage financial stability, their effect on home prices must be carefully assessed alongside other monetary measures.

Keywords: housing market; monetary policy; macroprudential policy; ownership-to-rent ratio; heterogeneous households (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E32 E52 E61 R21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 45 pages
Date: 2024-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-mon and nep-ure
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